Pascal Mugging

A argument against Utilitarian where a robber promises a very unlikely high reward for giving them a wallet.

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Give Money

Walk Away

Truth

Lie

99.9999999%

0.00000001%

1,000,000,000 days in heaven

1,000,000,000 days in hell

Nothing

Lose $

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The potential of the reward is very low, but the reward value outweighs not going for the reward.

It is a twist on Pascal’s Wager that does not involve infinite value