Simulation

Something that attempts to replicate the structure of a real concept while having a completely different constitution.

Likelihood

Given:

• $p$: fraction of civilizations that reach a post-human stage
• $N$: number of ancestor simulations run by posthuman civilizations
• $H$: Average number of individuals that live in a civilization before it reaches post human stage
• $i$: fraction of posthuman civilizations interested in running ancestor simulations The fraction of all observers with human-like experiences that like in simulations is: $f_{sim}=\frac{piNH}{piNH+H}$ Then, at least on of thje following must be true:
• $p\sim 0$ (There are close to zero human-level civiliations that reach a Post-human Stage)
• $i\sim 0$ (There are close to zero post-human level civilaitions interested in running ancestor simulations)
• $f_{sim}\sim 1$ (The fraction of people with our kind of experiences living in a simulation are close to one)